Toby Tobin, an astute Florida-based real estate blogger, has some interesting thoughts about housing data in a post he just published at his web site, GoToby.com.  His contention is that it is becoming a major challenge to make any sense of sales
If you wait to time the housing market, you could lose out on cost of living savings.

reports nationally or even locally given all the “noise” in the markets (“noise” is my term, not his).  With banks’ ever-changing lending criteria, the unprecedented numbers of foreclosure-susceptible properties, the expired home purchase tax credit that was in effect last year but is now expired, and the uncertainty over what Congress will do about the so-called Bush tax cuts, reading much of anything into national sales data may be a fool’s errand.

        I also wonder, “Why bother?” thinking about national sales data.  It is irrelevant to our own personal situations.  If you have a game plan to buy golf community property, either as a second-home or permanent home, your schedule and requirements should govern how you proceed.  With

If you wait for your primary home's value to rise, the golf home you want to buy will probably rise too, maybe faster.

few exceptions, prices will either rise, fall or remain steady pretty much across the country.  If you wait for the value of your current home to rise before you make a move you have planned to make, then the price of your future golf home will probably rise too (maybe a little faster, since the baby boomer demographic still wants to move south).  If you think your future golf community home may drop further in price and you are waiting for that, chances are good that the value of your current home will drop too.  In short, trying to time the housing market is about as easy as timing the stock market, which is to say it isn’t (easy).

        In general, the cost of living in the south is lower than in the north and far west.  A move to the south at any time is likely to save you money every year into the future.  Ignore what the housing pundits say about where the market is going.  Get on with your life.

        You can read Toby’s post by clicking here.

     Those of us distressed over what has happened to our home prices here in the U.S. need only look across “the pond” for even more misery.  According to an article in
The price of a home across the street from Ballybunion is many multiples less than one near Pebble Beach.

this month’s issue of International Living, officials in Ireland are reporting an overall 40% drop in real estate prices nationwide, but the utter lack of any buyers may force some homeowners to drop their prices up to 70% to compel a sale.  Author Ronan McMahon writes that on the edge of Dublin, for example, some new apartment prices have dropped from a list of $274,000 to $96,000.

        I haven’t really kept up with real estate prices near some of Ireland’s iconic golf courses, like Ballybunion and Lahinch, so I can’t be sure how far they have fallen.  However, new two-bedroom homes across the street from Ballybunion, arguably one of the 10 best golf courses in the world, are listed at 169,000 Euros, about $223,000 US.   Compare that with similar homes near our own nation’s iconic golf courses, like Pebble Beach and the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island – many well into the millions -- and some may find a summer place on the Irish coast too big a bargain to pass up, even toting up trans-Atlantic airfares and the travel times.

        Before any potential buyers raise a glass to the affordability of Irish golf real estate, however, consider McMahon’s cautionary words about the Irish real estate market.

        “…keep in mind,” he writes, “that the deals may get even better if Irish homeowners start to sell their weekend and holiday homes to raise cash.”

         The best advice here, if a base in Ireland next to legendary golf seems attractive, is to combine a little prospecting with a few golf vacations on the Old Sod.  Only about the size of Indiana, Ireland currently has about 10,000 more hotel rooms than it needs. Even if you are three pints of Guinness to the wind, you can figure out that much supply with so little demand spells bargains for American golfers.