All the leverage in the current real estate development market, with money as tight as it is, is with the lender, if you can find one.  The Cliffs Communities has found one to help them restructure their short-term debt, and the fact that the “lender” is another upscale group of communities raises some questions about who might finish the Tiger Woods golf course and community at High Carolina.

        “We were in the capital markets, looking for an aligned investor for working capital and to facilitate a restructuring of our debt,” wrote Cliffs Chief Financial Officer Timothy Cherry to the communities’ residents.  The

Urbana Communities is now a "joint venture" partner with The Cliffs.

announcement that Texas-based Urbana Communities had become the Cliffs “strategic joint venture” partner just weeks after Cliffs management decided to halt construction on the Tiger Woods golf course and clubhouse at High Carolina may be a hint that Urbana could eventually take over that troubled piece of property.  Shortly after the initial sales offerings at High Carolina, the housing market tanked; later, the well-publicized infidelities of the course’s designer made a difficult job of selling property nearly impossible.  A few weeks ago, The Cliffs announced they were suspending construction of the Tiger Woods golf course indefinitely; the Gary Player course at Mountain Park, the seventh in The Cliffs portfolio, will be completed on schedule later this year.

        Urbana, like The Cliffs, develops upscale communities, all of them in Texas.  “…there is no change of control of The Cliffs,” Mr. Cherry wrote to residents, “and there is no impact to ClubCo,” the name of the residents’ group that loaned The Cliffs $60 million last year to complete construction of a long roster of promised amenities.

        “Urbana values the brand, the lifestyle and the communities of The Cliffs,” wrote Cherry  -- perhaps enough to someday soon take over the development of High Carolina and the Tiger Woods course.  Residents and club members we have spoken with think seven fine and expensive-to-maintain golf courses are more than enough.

        No state’s housing market was hit harder than Florida’s, although Nevada and Arizona can certainly vie for that dubious claim.  The fact is that Nevada arguably has just two major areas of population, Las Vegas and Reno; and Arizona really only sports two of its own metro areas, Tucson and Phoenix, although it can seem as if Metro Phoenix extends forever.  But with the exception of some undeveloped land in its northern center, Florida has had six decades to develop a dense population and, along with it, a housing market value growth that was steady and, in some places, meteoric (as in too high to sustain).

        Ft. Myers was one of those places favored by retiring boomers and speculators who bid up property values to what today seem like ridiculous levels.  At one point in 2005, the median value of a home in the Cape Coral/Ft. Myers market reached $581,000.  Just two years later, it had plummeted to $271,000, and the market has struggled to creep back up from there.  But as we have written here and in our newsletter, there is a price at which decent property must sell, and properties in Ft. Myers seem to have reached that level.  Sales activity began to turn around in 2009 and prices followed suit last year, with a 3% price bump up in the third quarter of 2010 compared with the same quarter in 2009, according to our friend Toby Tobin at GoToby.com.

        In the January/February edition of Home On The Course, which should be out in the next two weeks (sign up above to receive your free copy), I plan to make the case for 2011 being the year golf community prices in the southern U.S. hit bottom and begin a slow rise back up for some and, perhaps, steeply up for a few of the most undervalued but stable properties.  Ft. Myers, with its excellent housing stock and golf courses, is only the first tangible sign of a potential recovery.