It’s a buyer’s market for property, right?  Well, not exactly, according to an interesting piece in the Wall Street Journal today [click here for access

Moving from Long Island, NY, to Myrtle Beach, for example, saves 35% on costs of living annually.

or, if that doesn’t work, contact me and I will send you a copy].  Sellers are mad as hell and they are not taking it anymore (i.e. lowering their listing prices).  But for those who have equity in their homes and a plan to move south, the advice here is to put aside your hot emotion and start thinking like a cold CFO.  Here’s why:

  1. Your house is worth what it is worth to a buyer, not what you think it is worth.  Okay, so you’ve lost 25% of the value of your home (on paper) in the last four years.  But that property in the southern U.S. that you’ve had your eye on is a lot cheaper too.  So why wait?
  2. The kids are gone from the nest, and you have either retired or are getting close.  Your space requirements have changed; your next house will be smaller than your current one, which means it will cost less than what your primary home will fetch.  Why wait?
  3. The costs to build homes in the south are much less than in the north (and land costs are generally lower as well).  Even if you decide you want to replicate the size of your primary home, you will spend less when you move south, in some cases much less.  I’ve seen nice homes on the market in the southern U.S. for less than $130 per square foot –- land included.  You won't find prices like that in most nice neighborhoods in the north, including your own.  So why wait?
  4. The average cost of living in most areas of the southern U.S. is less than most areas of the north.  Move from Philadelphia to Columbia, SC, and you save 20% annually. (Source:  BankRate.com).  Go from Long Island, NY, to Myrtle Beach, and the savings are on the order of 35%.  In other words, just dealing in round numbers, if you spend $100,000 annually on all expenses in New York today, you will spend just $65,000 a year in Myrtle Beach.  Knowing that should help get over any angst at an offer for your home that is, say, $20,000 less than you think it is worth.  Why wait?
  5. You worked hard for the last 40 years and have done a great job of raising your kids.  It’s your turn to reap the rewards.  Indeed, why wait?

The following is a representative sample of cost of living savings and real estate prices based on moves from selected metro areas in the north to specific golf communities in the south.  We have visited all the referenced golf communities and can recommend them.  For more information, contact the editor.

 

CapeFear10approach

Cape Fear National Golf Club at Brunswick Forest

Napierville, IL, to Brunswick Forest, Leland, NC.  Cost of living decrease = 15.5%

Single-family homes begin around $130 per square foot, land included. 

Cape Fear National Golf Club (semi-private), designed by Tim Cate.

 

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Wachesaw Plantation

Wantagh, NY, to Wachesaw Plantation, Murrells Inlet, SC.  Cost of living decrease = 35%. 

3 BR, 2 ½ BA single-family home at $118 per square foot.  Tom Fazio golf course (private).

 

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Charleston National Golf Club

Bergen County, NJ, to Charleston National Golf Club, Mt. Pleasant, SC. 

Cost of living decrease = 25%. 

3 BR, 2 BA single-family home listed at $135 per square foot, with 3-car garage. 

Rees Jones designed golf course (semi-private).

 

ReemsCreekteeshot

Reems Creek Golf Club

Philadelphia, PA, to Reems Creek Golf Club, Weaverville, NC (Asheville). 

Cost of living decrease = 20%. 

Single-family home, 1-acre lot, 3,859 square feet, mountain views, $165 per square foot.  Semi-private golf course designed by Hawtree & Son.

        My brother forwarded to me an article from the BBC (British Broadcasting System) on a tired subject, the state of the golf industry.  Under the heading “Global Golf Industry Facing Challenges” (there’s news), reporter Bill Wilson cites the over-inventory of golf courses in the U.S. and elsewhere, including Japan.  It recalled for me a train ride from Tokyo to Osaka many years ago with a business colleague from our company’s Tokyo office.  I noticed him reading a golf magazine and asked if he played, knowing from reports that golf courses in the early 1990s were relatively few in Japan and that memberships ran as high as $1 million.

        “I play every Saturday at a course six hours [by train] from my home,” he told me.  I asked how long he spent on the golf course.  “About six hours,” he said matter of factly, “but that includes a stop for lunch.”

        The point of my story is that the Japanese love golf and

It is not uncommon for golf mad Japanese to travel six hours on their days off to play golf at a public facility.

will go to extraordinary measures to play, even if it means just driving golf balls from their famous triple-decker practice facilities.  That is why I found the BBC reference to Japan as a “saturated market” surprising.  A chart that accompanies the article indicates that 27 million Japanese are “interested” in golf (23% of the country’s 127 million).  That amounts to about 12,350 Japanese for each of the nation’s 2,400 golf courses.  Even if just one-third of those interested in golf actually play, a ratio similar to the one in the U.S., that hardly constitutes over-saturation.

        The United States, by the way, owns more than half the world’s golf courses (more than 18,000) and half the players, around 26 million who tee it up at least once annually.  By the numbers, that amounts to 1,444 golfers per course.  There is still some shake out to come in the golf industry, but the data imply that the golf clubs that survive will have some numbers on their side.  The key for each course will be to market and advertise so well that golfers will be willing to travel a few extra hours for the experience.

BayCreekNicklaus4thgreen

Metropolitan New York City golfers can be on the first tee at one of the golf courses at Bay Creek in Cape Charles, VA, in about six hours, the time many Japanese routinely spend in traveling to a golf course.  Make a long weekend of it by staying in one of Bay Creek’s comfortable condo units, large enough for a foursome or family.  The Arnold Palmer and Jack Nicklaus 18s (#4 green on the Nicklaus course shown above) are both sleek and challenging, thanks to the prevailing winds off the beautiful Chesapeake Bay.