I was conducting a little research for a client today on Landfall, an expansive and well-established golf community near Wilmington, NC.  The community features 45 holes of golf, including 18 holes by Pete Dye and 27 by Jack Nicklaus.  Homes there are expensive, relative to most other golf communities I have visited and surveyed.

        Notes about Landfall at the popular real estate site Trulia.com stopped me in my tracks.  Here is what Trulia said about Landfall sales:

        “The median sales price for homes in Landfall…for Nov 09 to Jan 10 was $287,500 based on 28 sales. Compared to the same period one year ago, the median sales price decreased 63.5%, or $500,000, and the number of sales increased 75%.  Average price per square foot for Landfall was $171, a decrease of 35% compared to the same period last year.”

        Residents of Landfall would be shocked to learn that their homes had lost so much value so quickly.  The fact is, they haven’t.  Homes generally sell in the mid- to high-six figures in the community.  And Trulia’s own following words contradict their earlier data about Landfall.

        “The average listing price for homes for sale in Landfall was $1,060,317 for the week ending Feb 24, which represents an increase of 6.3%, or $62,926, compared to the prior week.”  Against a median sales price of less than $300,000, you can bet Landfall owners would not be listing their homes for over $1 million. 

        Confusing indeed.

        Owners at The Cliffs are on the horns of a dilemma or, more aptly, on the tines of Morton’s Fork.  Sir John Morton, Lord Chancellor of England in the late 15th Century, figured out a diabolically brilliant rationale for collecting taxes from everyone in the kingdom.  Subjects who lived in apparent luxury, Morton decided, obviously had the means to pay their taxes.  On the other hand, all subjects who did not spend much money and appeared to live frugally, Morton reasoned, should have saved enough to pay their taxes.  The term Morton’s Fork emerged to define those situations in which you have two choices, both bad.

        I thought of Morton’s Fork today as I considered the dilemma Cliffs Communities property owners face.  Founder and developer

Cliffs owners could get skewered no matter how they decide about the loan to their developer.

Jim Anthony is waiting to hear if they will front him a total of more than $60 million to complete two golf courses and other projects at his High Carolina (Tiger Woods design) and Mountain Park developments (Gary Player).  The minimum individual bailout is $100,000, for which the return is 12% annually over seven years.  In the world of investment, that’s a great rate, two points better even than what Bernie Madoff was paying.  But Cliffs owners would gladly forgo the impressive interest income in lieu of those heady days of yesteryear when they considered Anthony a visionary able to pay for his vision.

        Owners could be forgiven for thinking they might get skewered no matter what they decide.  If they deny Anthony the loan, he has indicated he will go to “Wall Street” to borrow it at much higher interest rates.  In the case of a default on the loan, the bankers would own The Cliffs, and you don’t have to be a visionary to understand what that could do to property values.  Anthony’s case to the owners is that if they lend him the money and he defaults, the property owners’ will acquire a rich consolation prize, direct ownership of The Cliffs’ amenities.

        Not to mix our metaphors, but becoming the owners of those lush and expensive amenities would be a Pyrrhic victory if ever

Do Cliffs residents really want to own the lush and expensive amenities?

there were one.  The cost of maintaining such an inheritance would have the twin disadvantages of burdening Cliffs property owners with higher maintenance fees since Anthony has been subsidizing them himself, and lower property values, since the “most comprehensive club membership in the world,” as Cliffs advertising has touted, could very well become the most expensive.

        The Cliffs property owners are smart people -- I know some of them personally -- but even they will have trouble choosing between the two alternatives their developer has presented.  They are on the horns of a dilemma, between the devil and the deep blue sea, and in a predicament of which only Sir John Morton could be proud.