Economists and other housing industry watchers tend to look at inventory levels for a signal of where the real estate market is going. Typically, the boundary between a buyer’s and seller’s market is around a six-month supply of homes for sale. Now, according to latest sales figures, three Florida Gulf Coast counties have reached “seller’s” market status, a reliable sign that the Sunshine State housing rebound is in full throttle.  How often have we read words like these from Sarasota's Herald Tribune just a few days ago:  "...a lack of available inventory remains the most pressing problem that real estate agents face for the balance of 2012..."

        According to an article published in yesterday's Herald Tribune, the supply of homes for sale in the Gulf Coast counties of Sarasota, Manatee and Charlotte was just 5.1 months in July, a figure, the newspaper

Including pending home sales, inventories between Sarasota and Ft. Myers have dropped to just a 4.2 months supply.

indicated, mimicked the “real estate boom” year of 2005. The three contiguous counties extend from Bradenton on the north end to just north of Ft. Myers and comprise such golf rich towns as Sarasota, Lakewood Ranch, Venice and Port. Charlotte. The dozens of golf communities along the Gulf Coast have long provided a cost-effective alternative to Florida’s Gold Coast and Palm Beaches on the Atlantic side of the state.

        Although the supply of homes for sale in the three Gulf counties rose to 5.1 months from 4.6 in June, the latest figure represents a dramatic change from a year ago, when the supply was at 7.6 months. And when you subtract from the inventory totals the number of homes with sales pending, July’s supply is just 4.2 months. Such a relatively slim inventory of homes for sale should exert upward pressure on prices, as well as encourage builders to open new developments across all price ranges.

Buyers searching for luxury properties –- typically defined as $1 million and above –- might take some comfort in the slowdown in homes sold in that category during July. Such sales were down 39% from June and down 34% from a year ago. But, according to the Herald Tribune, pending sales in the luxury category were strong, an indication that the supply of upscale properties may be shorter than apparent.

Prestancia2approach

Many of the homes in the Sarasota/Bradenton area effect a Tuscan style, as they do behind the 2nd green at the TPC of Prestancia.

 

        I recently completed a one-week visit to the Sarasota and Bradenton areas and toured the best golf communities with local Realtor Dennis Boyle, who specializes in the area’s golf developments. You can read my overviews of Sarasota golf communities by clicking here. You can also check out current golf homes for sale in Sarasota and Bradenton at GolfHomesListed.com, our companion web site. While you are there, sign up for our free Golf Home Finder KitTM, which provides you with information to help you make the smartest possible buying decision.

        If you have any questions about Sarasota golf homes for sale or would like a free personal consultation about your search for a golf home anywhere, please contact me.

 

-- Larry Gavrich, Founder & Editor, Home On The Course, LLC

LakewoodRanch5approach

If this is Florida, there must be sand...and water.  The approach to the par 5 5th hole at one of Lakewood Ranch's three golf courses.

        Last week, a Myrtle Beach area real estate agent told me she had sold a condominium in Pawleys Plantation for $88,000. The bank that held it after a foreclosure had rejected an offer of $130,000 a year earlier.

        Despite news reports about an incrementally improving housing market, buyers still have the upper hand. And even though I am not a real estate investor, I would have bought that condo if I had known about it,

Snagging an $88,000 condo in a community like Pawleys Plantation is like robbing a bank -- literally.

and for a few good reasons. First of all, the price was well below market for the Weehawka Woods unit; the same condos have sold well above $100,000 in the last year. (At our companion web site, GolfHomesListed, you will find two Weehawka condos for sale, one at under $125,000.) Second, Pawleys Plantation, whose Jack Nicklaus golf course is one of the best in the Myrtle Beach area, is a stable community, guarded and gated and a magnet for vacationers in all seasons but winter. The community is just five minutes drive from a beautiful and public Altantic Ocean beach. Attraction to vacationers is a factor in reason #3, rental income. Weehawka Woods units are set up especially well for one- or two-week stays, and they can generate an easy $10,000 a year in rental income. Note, however, that management fees can run to 35%, and of course there are taxes and homeowner association dues, all of which can take a severe bite out of revenues.

PawleysPlantation16thapproachGHL

Beyond the 16th hole at Pawleys Plantation and the marsh lies the beach homes on the Altantic Ocean.  It is just five minutes from the community's guarded front gate to the island, which makes Pawleys Plantation a popular vacation spot for families in summer and golfers the rest of the year.


        But let’s say that, after all the deductions, you are left with just $3,000 at the end of the year. That amounts to about a 3.5% return on your $88,000 investment, but you will save money on lodging if you use your condo for a personal vacation (up to two weeks per year, legally, unless you spend time fixing up the unit, in which case you can stay for the duration of the fix-ups, plus the two weeks).

        Most “safe” investments don’t yield that kind of return these days. And most certainly do not appreciate a few percentage points a nanosecond after you buy in. While the banks are still asleep at the switch, deals are still available. You can scan GolfHomesListed for some of the better deals available in top golf communities. And if you want us to keep an eye out for them, please contact us with your requirements.

        Footnote: The house that Jack Nicklaus lived in when he supervised construction of the Pawleys Plantation golf course in the late 1980s is currently for sale. See the listing by clicking here.